Brann 1-0 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 17 Apr 2024

Brann
1-0 HT 0-0
HamKam
📅17/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Brann vs HamKam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.71
6+ Goals
12%
6.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.65
X/1
21%
3.63
X/2
8%
16.4
X/X
5%
7.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.7
2/2
9%
12.0
2/X
9%
19.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-13.7pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brann v HamKam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
2.16/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.07
-17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
41.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
22.5 Crosses 16.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.3

Brann vs HamKam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann
4W-1D-1L
AWAY HamKam
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.51 xG 1.50
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 4
526 Passes 166
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
43 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.08.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-2 HT 0-2 Brann Brann NOR
02.07.2023 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
02.08.2008 Brann Brann 4-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
28.06.2008 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Brann Brann NOR
29.10.2006 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
02.07.2006 HamKam HamKam 4-0 HT 2-0 Brann Brann NOR

Brann 1-0 HamKam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann
1-0
AWAY HamKam
1.71 xG 0.57
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
19 Corners 6
464 Passes 127
80% Pass Accuracy 52%
58 Box Touches 24
34 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brann vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann nicked a narrow win over HamKam 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brann as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brann had 71% of the ball to HamKam's 29%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.71 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brann and 1.17 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Brann vs HamKam?

Brann 1-0 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Brann 56%, draw 22%, HamKam 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brann) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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