Molde 1-2 Odds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 17 Apr 2024

Molde
1-2 HT 1-1
Odds BK
📅17/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Molde vs Odds BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.43
Over 2.5
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
28%
2.7
6+ Goals
16%
6.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
20.3
X/1
23%
3.52
X/2
5%
16.75
X/X
7%
7.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.3
2/2
7%
13.1
2/X
6%
20.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-8.7pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.4pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+7.3pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Molde v Odds BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Odds BK EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
2.28/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.91
+17% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +0%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
484 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.5 Crosses 11.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Molde vs Odds BK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Odds BK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.59 xG 0.89
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
513 Passes 368
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
38 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Molde Molde 4-1 HT 2-1 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
11.06.2023 Odds BK Odds BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
19.06.2022 Odds BK Odds BK 1-2 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
11.05.2022 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 2-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
13.03.2022 Molde Molde 3-2 HT 0-1 Odds BK Odds BK NOK
03.10.2021 Odds BK Odds BK 1-3 HT 1-2 Molde Molde NOR

Molde 1-2 Odds BK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
1-2
AWAY Odds BK
2.38 xG 0.73
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
577 Passes 253
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
49 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Molde vs Odds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odds BK squeezed past Molde 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Molde at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Molde had 68% of the ball to Odds BK's 32%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 2.38 to 0.73 — the balance of chances actually favoured Molde.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Molde and 1.00 for Odds BK.

What was the final score of Molde vs Odds BK?

Molde 1-2 Odds BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Odds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Molde 63%, draw 21%, Odds BK 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Molde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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