Tacuary 2-5 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-10.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tacuary EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 51%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.35/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.68
+35% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +37%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
237 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tacuary
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-1 HT 0-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
01.10.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 0-3 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
18.07.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 0-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
04.06.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-0 HT 1-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
01.04.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
31.10.2022 Tacuary Tacuary 2-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tacuary
2-5
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tacuary vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion ran out comfortable winners over Tacuary 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Nacional Asuncion found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tacuary had 58% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 42%, shots finished 13-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tacuary and 1.17 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Tacuary vs Nacional Asuncion?

Tacuary 2-5 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tacuary vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tacuary 35%, draw 29%, Nacional Asuncion 37%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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