Nacional Asuncion 0-1 Tacuary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒00:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacuary EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.19/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.09
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tacuary
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 0-3 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
18.07.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 0-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
04.06.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-0 HT 1-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
01.04.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
31.10.2022 Tacuary Tacuary 2-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
04.09.2022 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 0-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
0-1
AWAY Tacuary
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Tacuary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tacuary edged past Nacional Asuncion 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional Asuncion at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 50% of the ball to Tacuary's 50%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 0.50 for Tacuary.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Tacuary?

Nacional Asuncion 0-1 Tacuary in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Tacuary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 41%, draw 28%, Tacuary 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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