Club Guarani 1-2 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.67/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.43
+8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.11.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-2 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
09.11.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PARK
09.09.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
22.05.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
20.03.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
1-2
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense squeezed past Club Guarani 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Club Guarani at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Club Guarani had 55% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 45%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sportivo Trinidense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Club Guarani and 1.40 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Club Guarani 1-2 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 42%, draw 25%, Sportivo Trinidense 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Guarani) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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