Kalisz 1-2 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 1 Jun 2024

Kalisz
1-2 HT 1-0
Stal Stalowa Wola
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kalisz v Stal Stalowa Wola — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.61/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.61
+9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
02.09.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 1-0 HT 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Stalowa Wola squeezed past Kalisz 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Stal Stalowa Wola found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kalisz had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kalisz and 0.00 for Stal Stalowa Wola.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Kalisz 1-2 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 2nd Division on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 40%, draw 31%, Stal Stalowa Wola 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kalisz), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalisz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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