Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2024

Stal Stalowa Wola
0-1 HT 0-1
Kalisz
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Kalisz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.91
6+ Goals
12%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stal Stalowa Wola v Kalisz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.93/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.17
+29% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Kalisz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kalisz
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 1-0 HT 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2

Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 Kalisz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
0-1
AWAY Kalisz
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stal Stalowa Wola vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz squeezed past Stal Stalowa Wola 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Stal Stalowa Wola at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Stal Stalowa Wola had 53% of the ball to Kalisz's 47%, shots finished 21-10.

What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs Kalisz?

Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Stalowa Wola win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 46%, draw 26%, Kalisz 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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