Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-0 Stomil Olsztyn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.24
6+ Goals
12%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stomil Olsztyn EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
1.67/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.37
+8% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Stomil Olsztyn
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn 2-1 HT 2-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
13.06.2020 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn 1-0 HT 0-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL1
07.09.2019 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-3 HT 1-1 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn POL1
05.09.2015 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn 2-0 HT 1-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL1
26.10.2014 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn 3-0 HT 2-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL1
06.04.2014 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn 0-2 HT 0-2 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
1-0
AWAY Stomil Olsztyn
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stomil Olsztyn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chojniczanka Chojnice squeezed past Stomil Olsztyn 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chojniczanka Chojnice as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chojniczanka Chojnice had 56% of the ball to Stomil Olsztyn's 44%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stomil Olsztyn led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chojniczanka Chojnice and 1.83 for Stomil Olsztyn.

What was the final score of Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stomil Olsztyn?

Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-0 Stomil Olsztyn in the Poland - 2nd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stomil Olsztyn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chojniczanka Chojnice win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chojniczanka Chojnice 44%, draw 25%, Stomil Olsztyn 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice) ✓ Under 2.5
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