SKRA Czestochowa 1-1 Kotwica Kolobrzeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.9
6+ Goals
11%
17.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.9 — our 25% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kotwica Kolobrzeg EU Bookmakers 46%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.07/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.27
-22% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.03.2024 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0-1 HT 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
04.09.2023 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-1 HT 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
25.08.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg POL2
01.04.2023 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-2 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
26.08.2022 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-2 HT 0-1 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg POL2
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKRA Czestochowa and Kotwica Kolobrzeg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kotwica Kolobrzeg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, SKRA Czestochowa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for SKRA Czestochowa and 0.80 for Kotwica Kolobrzeg.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg?

SKRA Czestochowa 1-1 Kotwica Kolobrzeg in the Poland - 2nd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kotwica Kolobrzeg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 31%, draw 25%, Kotwica Kolobrzeg 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kotwica Kolobrzeg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kotwica Kolobrzeg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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