Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-2 Olimpia Elblag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 30% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 30%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
1.99/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.30
+29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.09.2023 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 2-1 HT 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
26.10.2022 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-2 HT 0-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
1-2
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Olimpia Elblag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Elblag nicked a narrow win over Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jastrzebie Zdroj at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 60% of the ball to Olimpia Elblag's 40%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Olimpia Elblag led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 2.00 for Olimpia Elblag.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Olimpia Elblag?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-2 Olimpia Elblag in the Poland - 2nd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Olimpia Elblag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jastrzebie Zdroj win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 41%, draw 31%, Olimpia Elblag 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL2 More Poland - 2nd Division
17 Mar 2024
14:00 Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom Analysis →
16:00 SKRA Czestochowa vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg Analysis →
19:00 Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stomil Olsztyn Analysis →
21:30 Stal Stalowa Wola vs Kalisz Analysis →