Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 26% vs market 23.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +3%
1.41/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.53
-27% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1W-1D-2L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.09.2023 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-1 HT 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
25.08.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg POL2
01.04.2023 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-2 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
26.08.2022 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-2 HT 0-1 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0-1
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKRA Czestochowa edged past Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kotwica Kolobrzeg at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Kotwica Kolobrzeg had 54% of the ball to SKRA Czestochowa's 46%, shots finished 23-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, SKRA Czestochowa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kotwica Kolobrzeg and 1.25 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kotwica Kolobrzeg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kotwica Kolobrzeg 52%, draw 25%, SKRA Czestochowa 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kotwica Kolobrzeg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kotwica Kolobrzeg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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