Lech Poznan II 1-2 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 10 Mar 2024

Lech Poznan II
1-2 HT 0-1
SKRA Czestochowa
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Lech Poznan II vs SKRA Czestochowa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.2
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 31% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lech Poznan II v SKRA Czestochowa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lech Poznan II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -17%
1.10/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.84
-20% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2

Lech Poznan II vs SKRA Czestochowa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lech Poznan II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-2 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
25.08.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
20.08.2023 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 1-1 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
31.07.2022 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 3-3 HT 1-2 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
21.11.2021 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 1-0 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
31.07.2021 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
POST-MATCH Lech Poznan II vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKRA Czestochowa squeezed past Lech Poznan II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day SKRA Czestochowa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lech Poznan II and 1.00 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Lech Poznan II vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Lech Poznan II 1-2 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lech Poznan II vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an SKRA Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan II 32%, draw 29%, SKRA Czestochowa 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SKRA Czestochowa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SKRA Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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