SKRA Czestochowa 0-2 Lech Poznan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.79
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.19
6+ Goals
13%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan II EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
1.52/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.28
-8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lech Poznan II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
20.08.2023 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 1-1 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
31.07.2022 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 3-3 HT 1-2 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
21.11.2021 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 1-0 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
31.07.2021 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
28.04.2021 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs Lech Poznan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lech Poznan II saw off SKRA Czestochowa 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was SKRA Czestochowa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SKRA Czestochowa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SKRA Czestochowa and 0.83 for Lech Poznan II.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs Lech Poznan II?

SKRA Czestochowa 0-2 Lech Poznan II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs Lech Poznan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a SKRA Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 45%, draw 24%, Lech Poznan II 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (SKRA Czestochowa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SKRA Czestochowa) ✓ BTTS No
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