Polonia Bytom 3-1 Zaglebie Lubin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.2
6+ Goals
13%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+3.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.99/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.92
+27% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 3-0 HT 1-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
3-1
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Zaglebie Lubin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom got the better of Zaglebie Lubin II 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 52% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin II's 48%, shots finished 20-13.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Polonia Bytom 3-1 Zaglebie Lubin II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 51%, draw 21%, Zaglebie Lubin II 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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