Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1-3 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.56
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandecja Nowy Sacz EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 34%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
1.58/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.85
+3% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandecja Nowy Sacz
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.08.2023 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-0 HT 0-0 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz POL2
05.04.2022 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz 2-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1
11.09.2021 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-3 HT 0-1 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz POL1
29.05.2021 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 HT 0-1 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz POL1
09.12.2020 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz 3-0 HT 2-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1
12.06.2020 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-2 HT 1-1 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz POL1
POST-MATCH Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jastrzebie Zdroj saw off Sandecja Nowy Sacz 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Sandecja Nowy Sacz at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandecja Nowy Sacz had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sandecja Nowy Sacz and 0.33 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1-3 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandecja Nowy Sacz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sandecja Nowy Sacz 42%, draw 28%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sandecja Nowy Sacz) ✗ Under 2.5
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