SKRA Czestochowa 1-1 Olimpia Elblag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.8
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.69/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.12
+11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 2-1 HT 1-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
19.08.2023 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 0-1 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
11.08.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-2 HT 1-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
29.04.2023 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 3-1 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
25.09.2022 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 2-2 HT 2-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
02.04.2022 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 0-0 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs Olimpia Elblag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKRA Czestochowa and Olimpia Elblag shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpia Elblag led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SKRA Czestochowa and 1.50 for Olimpia Elblag.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs Olimpia Elblag?

SKRA Czestochowa 1-1 Olimpia Elblag in the Poland - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs Olimpia Elblag?

Before kick-off our model rated a SKRA Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 40%, draw 26%, Olimpia Elblag 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SKRA Czestochowa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SKRA Czestochowa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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