Olimpia Elblag 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.4
6+ Goals
13%
12.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.4 — our 26% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.35/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.01
-15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Elblag
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 2-1 HT 1-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
13.05.2023 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 0-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
08.10.2022 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 1-1 HT 0-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Elblag
1-2
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olimpia Elblag vs Zaglebie Lubin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin II edged past Olimpia Elblag 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpia Elblag at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Olimpia Elblag had 46% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin II's 54%, shots finished 18-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zaglebie Lubin II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Olimpia Elblag and 1.33 for Zaglebie Lubin II.

What was the final score of Olimpia Elblag vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Olimpia Elblag 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Elblag vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Elblag win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Elblag 46%, draw 25%, Zaglebie Lubin II 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olimpia Elblag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpia Elblag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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