ES Metlaoui 1-1 EGS Gafsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.28
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.99/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.16
-17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
0W-0D-1L
AWAY EGS Gafsa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.03.2024 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs EGS Gafsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui and EGS Gafsa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was ES Metlaoui at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs EGS Gafsa?

ES Metlaoui 1-1 EGS Gafsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs EGS Gafsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 50%, draw 29%, EGS Gafsa 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ES Metlaoui), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Metlaoui) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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