Northern Virginia 5-1 Christos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Virginia EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Christos EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.18/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.02
-24% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northern Virginia
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Christos
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2023 Northern Virginia Northern Virginia 3-3 HT 1-1 Christos Christos USL2
18.06.2023 Christos Christos 2-3 HT 2-0 Northern Virginia Northern Virginia USL2
28.05.2023 Northern Virginia Northern Virginia 1-1 Christos Christos USL2
POST-MATCH Northern Virginia vs Christos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northern Virginia ran out comfortable winners over Christos 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Christos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Northern Virginia had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Northern Virginia and 2.00 for Christos.

What was the final score of Northern Virginia vs Christos?

Northern Virginia 5-1 Christos in the USA - USL League 2 on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Virginia vs Christos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Christos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Northern Virginia 32%, draw 24%, Christos 43%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Christos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Christos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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