Tobacco Road 1-2 West Virginia Chaos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 1 Jun 2024

Tobacco Road
1-2 HT 1-1
West Virginia Chaos
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

Tobacco Road vs West Virginia Chaos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.63
Over 2.5
51%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-1.6pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.1pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
34%
+15.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
66%
-15.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.0pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tobacco Road v West Virginia Chaos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobacco Road EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY West Virginia Chaos EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.99/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+30% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tobacco Road vs West Virginia Chaos Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobacco Road
0W-1D-0L
AWAY West Virginia Chaos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
06.07.2023 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 2-2 HT 1-1 West Virginia Chaos West Virginia Chaos USL2
POST-MATCH Tobacco Road vs West Virginia Chaos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Virginia Chaos squeezed past Tobacco Road 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; West Virginia Chaos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Tobacco Road vs West Virginia Chaos?

Tobacco Road 1-2 West Virginia Chaos in the USA - USL League 2 on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobacco Road vs West Virginia Chaos?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Virginia Chaos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tobacco Road 31%, draw 31%, West Virginia Chaos 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Virginia Chaos), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (West Virginia Chaos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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