Racing Santander 2-1 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 27% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.09
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
15%
5.35
X/2
11%
6.87
X/X
13%
5.05
2/1
7%
24.2
2/2
12%
4.57
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.62/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.10
-5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.1 Crosses 18.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Granada
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.44 xG 1.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
265 Passes 283
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Granada Granada 3-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
23.04.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
20.08.2022 Granada Granada 2-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
31.03.2012 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS1
06.11.2011 Granada Granada 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
2-1
AWAY Granada
2.19 xG 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
198 Passes 256
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander nicked a narrow win over Granada 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Racing Santander found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Racing Santander had 45% of the ball to Granada's 55%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.19 to 0.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Racing Santander's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Granada led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Racing Santander and 1.20 for Granada.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Granada?

Racing Santander 2-1 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 40%, draw 28%, Granada 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ Under 2.5
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