Granada 3-0 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.46
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
11%
5.55
X/2
11%
7.23
X/X
10%
5.07
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
14%
5.06
2/X
8%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +37%
1.43/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.30
+3% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
23.9 Crosses 13.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Racing Santander
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
0.64 xG 0.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
323 Passes 198
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
20.08.2022 Granada Granada 2-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
31.03.2012 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS1
06.11.2011 Granada Granada 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
3-0
AWAY Racing Santander
2.60 xG 0.39
37% Ball Possession 63%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
202 Passes 400
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Granada vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada ran out comfortable winners over Racing Santander 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Granada made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Granada had 37% of the ball to Racing Santander's 63%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.60 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Granada had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Granada and 0.25 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Granada vs Racing Santander?

Granada 3-0 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Granada 40%, draw 26%, Racing Santander 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Granada) ✗ Under 2.5
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