Elche 2-1 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2024

Elche
2-1 HT 0-1
Cadiz
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.46
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
18.1
X/1
18%
4.21
X/2
12%
10.3
X/X
12%
4.95
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
8%
8.85
2/X
6%
19.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.71/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.54
-14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
24.9 Crosses 19.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cadiz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.57
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 Passes 266
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.06.2023 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
16.01.2023 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS1
07.05.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 3-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS1
05.12.2021 Elche Elche 3-1 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
16.05.2021 Cadiz Cadiz 1-3 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS1
28.11.2020 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
2-1
AWAY Cadiz
2.06 xG 0.42
79% Ball Possession 21%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
553 Passes 101
88% Pass Accuracy 59%
30 Box Touches 7
37 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Elche vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche nicked a narrow win over Cadiz 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Elche had 79% of the ball to Cadiz's 21%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.06 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Elche's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Elche and 1.33 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Elche vs Cadiz?

Elche 2-1 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Elche 47%, draw 27%, Cadiz 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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