Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2024

Deportivo La Coruna
1-1 HT 1-0
Real Zaragoza
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Zaragoza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
21.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 32% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.05
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.6
X/1
15%
4.84
X/2
11%
8.32
X/X
15%
4.64
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
16%
6.59
2/X
7%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Coruna v Real Zaragoza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.06/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.15
-43% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.4 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Zaragoza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 1.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
395 Passes 370
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.02.2020 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
08.12.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-3 HT 0-2 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
04.05.2019 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
16.12.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 HT 3-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
12.09.2018 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İSPK
23.03.2014 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2

Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Real Zaragoza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
1-1
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.17 xG 3.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
296 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 39
9 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna and Real Zaragoza couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 47% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 53%, shots finished 5-23, expected goals 1.17 to 3.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 1.50 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Zaragoza?

Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 38%, draw 29%, Real Zaragoza 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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