South Melbourne 4-2 Melbourne Victory II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.0pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory II EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.66/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.68
-17% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.4 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Melbourne
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Melbourne Victory II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
24.02.2025 Melbourne Victory II Melbourne Victory II 3-3 HT 0-1 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Melbourne got the better of Melbourne Victory II 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had South Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory II?

South Melbourne 4-2 Melbourne Victory II in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory II?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split South Melbourne 41%, draw 26%, Melbourne Victory II 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Melbourne), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South Melbourne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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