Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 3-0 FC Molodechno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.3
6+ Goals
12%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Molodechno EU Bookmakers 21%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-49% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / -43%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
3-0
AWAY FC Molodechno
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Molodechno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk ran out comfortable winners over FC Molodechno 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 57% of the ball to FC Molodechno's 43%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Molodechno?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 3-0 FC Molodechno in the Belarus - Premier League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Molodechno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 53%, draw 26%, FC Molodechno 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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