Smorgon 0-2 FC Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smorgon EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 49%
+18% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.12/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.69
+3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +44%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smorgon
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Minsk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2024 Smorgon Smorgon 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
05.04.2024 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-3 HT 1-2 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
05.11.2023 Smorgon Smorgon 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
10.06.2023 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-1 HT 2-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
28.11.2021 Smorgon Smorgon 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
02.07.2021 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-2 HT 1-2 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smorgon
0-2
AWAY FC Minsk
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Smorgon vs FC Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Minsk got the better of Smorgon 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Minsk as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Smorgon had 52% of the ball to FC Minsk's 48%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smorgon had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Smorgon and 1.17 for FC Minsk.

What was the final score of Smorgon vs FC Minsk?

Smorgon 0-2 FC Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smorgon vs FC Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 27%, draw 29%, FC Minsk 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Minsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Minsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
1 Jun 2025
16:00 Slutsk vs Gomel Analysis →
20:30 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Molodechno Analysis →