Smorgon 1-1 FC Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smorgon EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 40%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -18%
0.67/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.19
-48% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smorgon
2W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Minsk
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.04.2024 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-3 HT 1-2 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
05.11.2023 Smorgon Smorgon 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
10.06.2023 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-1 HT 2-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
28.11.2021 Smorgon Smorgon 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
02.07.2021 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-2 HT 1-2 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smorgon
1-1
AWAY FC Minsk
51% Ball Possession 49%
23 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Smorgon vs FC Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smorgon and FC Minsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Smorgon had 51% of the ball to FC Minsk's 49%, shots finished 23-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Smorgon had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Smorgon and 1.20 for FC Minsk.

What was the final score of Smorgon vs FC Minsk?

Smorgon 1-1 FC Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smorgon vs FC Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smorgon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 37%, draw 31%, FC Minsk 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Smorgon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Smorgon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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