Gomel 2-0 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.97
6+ Goals
13%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.79/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.02
-38% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel
3W-0D-3L
AWAY BATE Borisov
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-3 HT 0-2 Gomel Gomel BLR
26.09.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-2 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
18.03.2023 Gomel Gomel 0-2 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
04.09.2022 Gomel Gomel 0-1 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
21.05.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-2 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel BLRK
22.04.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-1 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomel
2-0
AWAY BATE Borisov
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gomel vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomel beat BATE Borisov 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Gomel made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gomel had 41% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 59%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gomel and 1.33 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Gomel vs BATE Borisov?

Gomel 2-0 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated an BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gomel 35%, draw 25%, BATE Borisov 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✗ Over 2.5
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18 Aug 2024
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