BATE Borisov 1-3 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
22%
4.24
6+ Goals
12%
20.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.24 — our 22% vs market 18.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.84/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.02
+40% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE Borisov
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gomel
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-2 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
18.03.2023 Gomel Gomel 0-2 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
04.09.2022 Gomel Gomel 0-1 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
21.05.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-2 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel BLRK
22.04.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-1 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
02.08.2021 Gomel Gomel 2-2 HT 1-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BATE Borisov
1-3
AWAY Gomel
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH BATE Borisov vs Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomel got the better of BATE Borisov 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Gomel found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, BATE Borisov had 62% of the ball to Gomel's 38%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for BATE Borisov and 1.17 for Gomel.

What was the final score of BATE Borisov vs Gomel?

BATE Borisov 1-3 Gomel in the Belarus - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE Borisov vs Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split BATE Borisov 38%, draw 28%, Gomel 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BATE Borisov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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