Slutsk 0-1 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.72
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slutsk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.48/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.15/0.90
+15% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -86% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slutsk
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 HT 1-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
15.05.2022 Slutsk Slutsk 2-2 HT 2-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
29.11.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 1-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
06.06.2014 Slutsk Slutsk 1-1 HT 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slutsk
0-1
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slutsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Mogilev squeezed past Slutsk 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Slutsk at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Slutsk had 54% of the ball to Dnepr Mogilev's 46%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Slutsk had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slutsk and 1.25 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of Slutsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Slutsk 0-1 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slutsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slutsk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Slutsk 44%, draw 29%, Dnepr Mogilev 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Slutsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slutsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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