Santos vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Santos
BR1
2-2
HT 1-0
Botafogo
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Santos
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo
BR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Botafogo
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
Santos 0-1 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo squeezed past Santos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Botafogo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Santos had 36% of the ball to Botafogo's 64%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.03 to 0.49 — on chances, Santos could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santos and 1.17 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Santos vs Botafogo?
Santos 0-1 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Santos 40%, draw 30%, Botafogo 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santos) went the other way.