Bahia vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bahia v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Bahia vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR1
Bahia 2-1 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia nicked a narrow win over Sao Paulo 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bahia had 59% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 41%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.49 to 1.86.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Bahia and 1.33 for Sao Paulo.
What was the final score of Bahia vs Sao Paulo?
Bahia 2-1 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Sao Paulo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bahia 44%, draw 28%, Sao Paulo 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.