Sao Paulo vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sao Paulo v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo took care of Bahia 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: Bahia saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.21 to 1.04.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Sao Paulo against 0.50 for Bahia.
Sao Paulo vs Bahia Result & Final Score
Sao Paulo 3 - 1 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sao Paulo vs Bahia Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 50%, draw 28%, Bahia 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.