Fortaleza vs Juventude Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Juventude — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Juventude Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Fortaleza
BR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Juventude
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Juventude
BR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Fortaleza
BR1
4-1
HT 3-1
Juventude
BR2
0-3
HT 0-2
Fortaleza
BR2
Fortaleza 2-1 Juventude — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza nicked a narrow win over Juventude 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortaleza as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fortaleza had 38% of the ball to Juventude's 62%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.84 to 1.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fortaleza's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fortaleza and 0.67 for Juventude.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Juventude?
Fortaleza 2-1 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Juventude?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 52%, draw 27%, Juventude 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.