Cuiaba 1-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 30 Jun 2024

Cuiaba
1-1 HT 1-1
Bragantino
📅30/06/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Cuiaba vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.09
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.88
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
15%
5.15
X/2
13%
5.45
X/X
12%
3.71
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.2
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cuiaba v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.31/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.22
-2% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
22.6 Crosses 20.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Cuiaba vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bragantino
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.32 xG 1.27
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
286 Passes 366
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Bragantino 2-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
23.04.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
06.10.2022 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
12.06.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
02.11.2021 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
08.07.2021 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1

Cuiaba 1-1 Bragantino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
1-1
AWAY Bragantino
0.25 xG 0.32
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 11
197 Passes 464
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuiaba and Bragantino shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Cuiaba had 34% of the ball to Bragantino's 66%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.25 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cuiaba and 1.17 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Bragantino?

Cuiaba 1-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 38%, draw 26%, Bragantino 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cuiaba), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cuiaba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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