Gremio vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Gremio
BR1
2-1
HT 2-1
Fluminense
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Gremio
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
Gremio 1-0 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio edged past Fluminense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Gremio had 47% of the ball to Fluminense's 53%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.05 to 0.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gremio and 0.50 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Gremio 1-0 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gremio 43%, draw 31%, Fluminense 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.