Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BRC1
0-1
HT 0-1
Botafogo
BRC1
0-4
HT 0-3
Botafogo
BR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
BR2
Vasco da Gama 1-1 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama and Botafogo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 54% of the ball to Botafogo's 46%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.46 to 0.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.50 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo?
Vasco da Gama 1-1 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 35%, draw 29%, Botafogo 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Botafogo) went the other way.