Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 30 Jun 2024

Atletico Mineiro
1-1 HT 1-1
Atletico Goianiense
📅30/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Atletico Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.84
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
17%
4.23
X/2
14%
6.89
X/X
13%
4.28
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
11%
5.57
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Mineiro v Atletico Goianiense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.28/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.29
+9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.5 Crosses 17.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Atletico Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.94 xG 0.81
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
438 Passes 332
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.09.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
15.05.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
18.10.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
02.07.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 4-1 HT 3-1 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
18.01.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 3-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
20.09.2020 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 3-4 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1

Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Atletico Goianiense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
1-1
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
0.75 xG 1.15
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
496 Passes 185
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro and Atletico Goianiense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Mineiro at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 68% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 32%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.75 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 1.17 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense?

Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 42%, draw 26%, Atletico Goianiense 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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