Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Jun 2025

Shonan Bellmare
1-1 HT 0-1
Fagiano Okayama
📅01/06/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Shonan Bellmare vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.73
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.42 — our 38% vs market 34.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.68
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
8%
5.17
X/2
13%
5.97
X/X
20%
3.91
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
13%
4.58
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.5pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shonan Bellmare v Fagiano Okayama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.37/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.15
-4% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.3 Crosses 24.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0

Shonan Bellmare vs Fagiano Okayama Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
The Meetings
12.07.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JPK
10.08.2014 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP2

Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Fagiano Okayama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1-1
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
1.29 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
355 Passes 268
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare and Fagiano Okayama couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 54% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 46%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.29 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 0.00 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Fagiano Okayama?

Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J1 League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 34%, draw 33%, Fagiano Okayama 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shonan Bellmare), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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