Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Super Nova v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Super Nova 4-1 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
Super Nova overpowered BFC Daugavpils 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Super Nova found the edge the numbers couldn't.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.76, roughly 57%.
Under the surface, Super Nova had 47% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 53%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.12 to 1.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Super Nova and 2.00 for BFC Daugavpils.
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils Result & Final Score
Super Nova 4-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 39%, draw 28%, BFC Daugavpils 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Super Nova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.