BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
BFC Daugavpils
LET
2-0
HT 0-0
Super Nova
LET
0-4
HT 0-3
BFC Daugavpils
LET
3-0
HT 1-0
Super Nova
LET
1-1
HT 0-0
Super Nova
LET
1-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
BFC Daugavpils 1-1 Super Nova — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils and Super Nova shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was BFC Daugavpils at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 41% of the ball to Super Nova's 59%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.53 to 1.63.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 0.33 for Super Nova.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova?
BFC Daugavpils 1-1 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 43%, draw 23%, Super Nova 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), Over 2.5 went the other way.