Grobina 1-4 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
24%
6.26
Away
58%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+13.0pp
24%
Draw
12%
+12.2pp
58%
Away Win
84%
-25.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.7pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 90%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.18/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.67
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +7%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
218 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.7
13.9 Crosses 27.7
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.80
0.52 xG 2.61
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 10
190 Passes 604
67% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 56
8 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-2 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
11.08.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
02.06.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
23.04.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-4 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
01.09.2022 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LETK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
1-4
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.87 xG 3.07
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
211 Passes 547
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 52
7 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola cruised past Grobina 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Grobina had 33% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 67%, shots finished 4-23, expected goals 0.87 to 3.07.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Grobina and 3.80 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Rigas Skola?

Grobina 1-4 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Grobina 18%, draw 24%, Rigas Skola 58%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET More Latvia - Virsliga
15 Apr 2025
19:00 BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova Analysis →