Grobina 0-4 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.95
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
58%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.14
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.2pp
22%
Draw
14%
+7.7pp
58%
Away Win
76%
-17.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 81%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.66/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/0.72
+83% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -24%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.8
15.3 Crosses 28.0
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
01.09.2022 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LETK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
0-4
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.64 xG 3.55
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 34
3 Shots on Target 14
4 Corners 7
265 Passes 629
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 72
13 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola cruised past Grobina 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grobina had 33% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 67%, shots finished 7-34, expected goals 0.64 to 3.55.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Rigas Skola?

Grobina 0-4 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Grobina 20%, draw 22%, Rigas Skola 58%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5
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