Liepaja vs FS Jelgava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liepaja v FS Jelgava — Team-Based Signals
Liepaja vs FS Jelgava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
LET
3-2
HT 1-1
Liepaja
LET
2-1
HT 1-0
Liepaja
LET
3-2
HT 1-2
FS Jelgava
LET
3-1
HT 1-0
FS Jelgava
LET
1-5
HT 0-3
Liepaja
LET
Liepaja 0-1 FS Jelgava — Actual Match Statistics
FS Jelgava nicked a narrow win over Liepaja 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Liepaja had 57% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 43%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.56 to 1.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Liepaja and 1.67 for FS Jelgava.
What was the final score of Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?
Liepaja 0-1 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 43%, draw 30%, FS Jelgava 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.