Jamaika 0-3 Venezuela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa America, 1 Jul 2024

Jamaika
0-3 HT 0-0
Venezuela
📅01/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Copa America – 2024

Jamaika vs Venezuela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.13
No
67%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
13%
5.15
6+ Goals
6%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.35 — our 39% vs market 36.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
23%
6.86
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
4%
15.8
X/1
4%
7.91
X/2
21%
4.0
X/X
13%
3.83
2/1
4%
55.0
2/2
21%
2.65
2/X
4%
15.0
Value flag · 1/1 at 6.86 — our 23% vs market 10.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+7.2pp
22%
Draw
29%
-7.1pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+6.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-6.2pp
33%
BTTS Yes
43%
-9.7pp
67%
BTTS No
57%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jamaika v Venezuela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamaika EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezuela EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Jamaika vs Venezuela Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamaika
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Venezuela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
28.03.2015 Jamaika Jamaika 2-1 HT 1-1 Venezuela Venezuela HAZ
26.03.2011 Jamaika Jamaika 0-2 HT 0-0 Venezuela Venezuela HAZ

Jamaika 0-3 Venezuela — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamaika
0-3
AWAY Venezuela
0.52 xG 1.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 9
287 Passes 320
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jamaika vs Venezuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezuela cruised past Jamaika 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Venezuela as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (67%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Jamaika had 48% of the ball to Venezuela's 52%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.52 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jamaika and 1.50 for Venezuela.

What was the final score of Jamaika vs Venezuela?

Jamaika 0-3 Venezuela in the Copa America on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamaika vs Venezuela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venezuela win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jamaika 30%, draw 22%, Venezuela 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezuela), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venezuela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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