Meksika 0-0 Ekvador — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa America, 1 Jul 2024

Meksika
0-0 HT 0-0
Ekvador
📅01/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Copa America – 2024

Meksika vs Ekvador Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.99
No
65%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.15
6+ Goals
6%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.35 — our 40% vs market 36.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.17
1/2
4%
35.5
1/X
3%
14.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
5.39
X/2
21%
5.16
X/X
19%
3.7
2/1
8%
37.0
2/2
11%
3.92
2/X
3%
14.05
Value flag · X/1 at 5.39 — our 23% vs market 14.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.4pp
35%
BTTS Yes
46%
-11.2pp
65%
BTTS No
54%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Meksika v Ekvador — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvador EU Bookmakers 39%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
0.94/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+19% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -55%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Meksika vs Ekvador Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meksika
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ekvador
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.64 xG 0.90
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
303 Passes 260
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.06.2022 Meksika Meksika 0-0 HT 0-0 Ekvador Ekvador HAZ
10.06.2019 Meksika Meksika 3-2 HT 1-0 Ekvador Ekvador HAZ
20.06.2015 Meksika Meksika 1-2 HT 0-1 Ekvador Ekvador AKU
29.03.2015 Ekvador Ekvador 0-1 HT 0-1 Meksika Meksika HAZ
31.05.2014 Meksika Meksika 3-1 HT 1-0 Ekvador Ekvador HAZ
28.05.2011 Meksika Meksika 1-1 HT 1-1 Ekvador Ekvador HAZ

Meksika 0-0 Ekvador — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika
0-0
AWAY Ekvador
1.01 xG 0.40
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
318 Passes 199
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
39 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Meksika vs Ekvador
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika and Ekvador played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Meksika had 60% of the ball to Ekvador's 40%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.01 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Meksika had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Meksika and 1.00 for Ekvador.

What was the final score of Meksika vs Ekvador?

Meksika 0-0 Ekvador in the Copa America on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika vs Ekvador?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Meksika 39%, draw 26%, Ekvador 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Meksika) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Meksika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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