HFX Wanderers 1-0 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 1 Jul 2024

📅01/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.39
6+ Goals
11%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.79/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.86
-6% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
16.7 Crosses 19.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cavalry
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
322 Passes 382
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
13.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
15.07.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 1-0 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
17.06.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
14.05.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 1-2 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
05.09.2022 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
1-0
AWAY Cavalry
0.47 xG 0.76
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
301 Passes 506
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers squeezed past Cavalry 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day HFX Wanderers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 39% of the ball to Cavalry's 61%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.47 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.17 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry?

HFX Wanderers 1-0 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 39%, draw 26%, Cavalry 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HFX Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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