HFX Wanderers 1-1 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.35/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.08
-35% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
16.5 Crosses 22.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cavalry
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 1.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
325 Passes 392
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
15.07.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 1-0 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
17.06.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
14.05.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 1-2 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
05.09.2022 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
15.07.2022 Cavalry Cavalry 3-0 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
1-1
AWAY Cavalry
1.30 xG 0.91
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
259 Passes 417
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 32
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers and Cavalry shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 41% of the ball to Cavalry's 59%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.30 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.50 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry?

HFX Wanderers 1-1 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 33%, draw 27%, Cavalry 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cavalry) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAPL More Kanada - Premier League
11 May 2024
02:00 York United vs Valour Analysis →