Gyeongnam FC 2-4 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 1 Jul 2024

📅01/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.18/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.13
-12% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.3 Crosses 17.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 2.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
216 Passes 329
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-3 HT 0-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
17.04.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOK
17.09.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
16.07.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
05.03.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-5 HT 0-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
02.10.2022 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
2-4
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons got the better of Gyeongnam FC 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Jeonnam Dragons made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 56% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 44%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongnam FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.00 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Gyeongnam FC 2-4 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 38%, draw 30%, Jeonnam Dragons 32%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gyeongnam FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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